Renewed Hope by the Numbers: The Record Heading Into 2027
Policy

October 2026

Renewed Hope by the Numbers: The Record Heading Into 2027

Every campaign makes promises. The case for a second term rests on a record that can be measured — and three years in, the numbers tell a clear story of an economy turning the corner.

Real GDP growth rose from 2.31% in Q1 2023 to 3.89% in Q1 2026, while the fiscal deficit fell from 5.4% to 3.0% of GDP as national revenue nearly doubled from ₦16.8tn to ₦31.9tn.

Investors have noticed. Capital importation climbed from $1.13bn in Q1 2023 to $10.37bn in Q1 2026, and foreign direct investment grew from $895m in 2022 to $4.01bn in 2025. Nigeria has recorded four consecutive quarters of merchandise trade surpluses as crude output rose and petrol imports fell with expanding domestic refining.

The gains are reaching households too: a ₦70,000 national minimum wage, more than 300,000 students on the revived student loan scheme, over 900,000 small businesses reached by the Presidential Loan and Grant Scheme, and more than 2,700km of federal highways under construction.

Every one of those figures is in the 'Why Tinubu, Why Now' section of the app — ready to share when someone at the door asks what has changed.

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